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One in Two Mexicans Could Have Diabetes by 2050
As many as one in two Mexicans could be diagnosed with type 2 diabetes in their lifetime if current rates continue unabated, according to a new study published in the December issue of Preventive Medicine.
The research found dramatic increases in diagnoses of diabetes, by 30% among Mexican adults, between 2000 and 2012.
“We found that there has been a considerable increase in diabetes incidence since the 1960s, where incidence has roughly doubled every 10 years,” commented first author Rafael Meza, PhD, of the University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor.
Dr Meza, along with colleagues from the National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Morelos, and the National Cancer Institute in Mexico City, Mexico, used a population model to project the diabetes burden in the next 30 to 50 years if things continue as they are.
“What we found is that diabetes rates would reach a prevalence level between 14% and 22% by 2050, and 15 to 25 million individuals could have a diagnosis of diabetes by then,” Dr Meza said.
That means that between one in two to one in three Mexicans will be diagnosed with diabetes in their lifetimes if rates continue as they are, he highlighted.
Diabetes already affects up to 347 million people worldwide, with the burden more heavily concentrated in middle- and low-income countries, and in the past several decades the rates have been steadily increasing.
Experts project that diabetes will become the seventh leading cause of death in the world and will exact a cost of over $490 billion by 2030.
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