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THE EVIDENCE IS STRONG: AIR POLLUTION SEEMS TO CAUSE DEMENTIA
Ultimately, Bishop, Kuminoff, and Ketcham decided to link EPA air quality data to 15 years of Medicare records for 6.9 million Americans over the age of 65. Rather than simply ask if Americans exposed to more air pollution developed dementia at higher rates, the team identified a quasi-natural experiment that arbitrarily separated Americans into higher and lower air pollution exposure groups. In 2005, the Environmental Protection Agency targeted 132 counties in 21 states for increased regulation because they were found to be in violation of new air quality standards for fine particulate matter pollution. Residents of those counties consequently saw their air quality improve at a faster rate than their demographically matched peers living in other counties who, initially, had equal exposures but lived in counties with pollution levels that just barely fell below the new air quality standards.
In the coming years, these new findings could shape scientists’ understanding of neurodegenerative disease. Because of these new studies, George Perry, chief scientist of the Brain Health Consortium at the University of Texas at San Antonio and editor in chief of the Journal of Alzheimer’s Disease, says his “view of Alzheimer’s is changing, and I think the field is changing with it.” Perry now believes that air pollution is a potential risk factor for dementia, and his Alzheimer’s journal will soon run a special issue devoted to the link between the two. Motivated, in part, by the new evidence, Perry also increasingly sees dementia as a disease like cancer, where multiple factors could lead to pathology. “People develop cancer without smoking or being exposed to air pollution,” he says, “but each of those will raise your risk.”
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